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最高判136年?那特朗普如果坐牢了还能竞选美国总统吗?

来源:融媒体采编平台
作者:世纪君
日期:2023-04-07

当地时间4日,美国前总统特朗普在纽约州纽约市出庭应诉,成为美国历史上首位被刑事起诉的前总统。

Former U.S. President Donald Trump was arraigned on Tuesday at a court in Manhattan, New York City, formally becoming the first former U.S. president to face criminal charges.
 

最高获刑136年?
 

特朗普4日下午抵达曼哈顿刑事法院,登记相关信息后被带往法庭,没有戴手铐。据美国媒体报道,特朗普在出庭时表示不认罪。曼哈顿地区检察官阿尔文·布拉格在特朗普出庭后宣布,特朗普被诉34项伪造商业记录重罪,被指控在2016年美国总统选举前后伪造商业记录以对选民隐瞒负面信息和非法活动。

Trump was charged in a New York State Supreme Court indictment with 34 counts of falsifying business records in the first degree. Under arrest and in police custody, he personally entered the "not guilty" plea.

Manhattan District Attorney Alvin Bragg announced the indictment after Trump's arraignment, accusing him of "falsifying New York business records in order to conceal damaging information and unlawful activity from American voters before and after the 2016 election."
 

美联社:特朗普封口费案被诉34项重罪(felony)

 

根据福克斯新闻等美媒报道,34项重罪最高获刑可达136年。但如果任何一项或者全部罪名成立,最终判决会远远少于这个刑期。

The charges carry a maximum sentence of 136 years in prison, though the actual sentence will likely be far less than that if he is convicted on any or all counts.
 

 

 

出庭之前,特朗普还在自有社交媒体Truth Social上写道:看上去很不现实——哇,他们现在要逮捕我了!不敢相信这些都发生在美国!MAGA(让美国再次伟大)!
 

"Seems so SURREAL -- WOW, they are going to ARREST ME. Can't believe this is happening in America. MAGA!" Trump wrote on his social media platform "Truth Social" before arriving at the Manhattan Criminal Court earlier in the day.
 

此外,特朗普竞选网站上架了一款T恤用于支持者购买捐款,上面印着“特朗普的黑白嫌犯照”。图片里的他举着写有总统特朗普、45和47(疑似暗指其美国总统任期)以及庭审日期字样的牌子,下面大字写着“无罪”,T恤售价36美元。
 

 

不过,值得注意得是,特朗普本人并没有拍摄这样的照片。

 

自称虚假案件?

 

当天出庭结束后,特朗普离开法院,乘坐飞机返回位于佛罗里达州的海湖庄园。随后,他在海湖庄园对着数百名支持者发表讲话,持续一贯说辞,即民主党对他搞“政治迫害”,企图阻止他再次当选总统。
 

据新华网报道,特朗普在讲话中历数民主党人“迫害”他的“罪状”,从他担任总统时遭弹劾,到针对他和特朗普集团的司法调查等等。
 

就自己被起诉,特朗普在讲话中称:“我从未想过这样的事情会发生在美国,从没想到过。”

"I never thought anything like this could happen in America," Trump told an engaged crowd in Mar-a-Lago. "Never thought it could happen."
 

“这桩虚假案件只为了干扰即将到来的2024年大选。应当被立即停止。”

“This fake case was brought only to interfere with the upcoming 2024 election. And it should be dropped immediately," he said.

 

据哥伦比亚广播公司报道,超过500名特朗普的支持者受邀参加这场活动。面对这样的场景,美联社则评述,这场讲话看上去犹如总统竞选活动(The scene, in some ways, felt more like a campaign launch.)

 

还能竞选总统?

谈到总统竞选活动,问题也随之而来:如此情况下,特朗普真的会坐牢吗?他还能参加2024美国大选吗?
 

福布斯新闻网站援引前曼哈顿地区检察官弗洛伦斯的话说,即使特朗普被判坐牢一年以上,“他几乎不会去监禁(he’d spend very little of that in custody)”,而且可能数月后被释放。
 

商业内幕网站则援引前布鲁克地区检察官艾达拉的话说,“我不能说特朗普100%不坐牢,因为法律上说他可以进监狱。但是,我不觉得特朗普会在里面待哪怕一分钟。”

"I can't say for absolute 100% certainty there can't be jail because on the books, he can go to jail," said former Brooklyn prosecutor Arthur Aidala. But, Aidala said, "I do not see a scenario where Donald Trump spends one minute in jail."
 

加州大学洛杉矶分校的法学教授哈森在接受CNN采访时就表示,“在起诉期间,甚至认罪后,都没有什么能阻挡特朗普竞选。”

“Nothing stops Trump from running while indicted, or even convicted,” the University of California, Los Angeles law professor Richard Hasen said.
 

特朗普满足美国宪法中出生、年龄以及在美居住时长的要求。
 

而作为一个政治问题,被起诉的候选人可能成为罪犯,他想赢得选票就面临更多困难。但是并没有说会禁止这些人竞选或胜选。

As a political matter, it’s maybe more difficult for an indicted candidate, who could become a convicted criminal, to win votes. But it is not forbidden for them to run or be elected.
 

综合来源:新华社,美联社,CNN,BI,Forbes
 

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